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Mohd Azizul Ramli

Airports' & Airlines' Operational Statistics

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Judging from number of cars at KUL MTB and LCCT car parks, it seems there are more O&D pax at LCCT and MH rely heavily on transit pax.

 

:drinks:

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Judging from number of cars at KUL MTB and LCCT car parks, it seems there are more O&D pax at LCCT and MH rely heavily on transit pax.

 

:drinks:

 

I think we should consider the numbers of ERL and those RM9 O/w Red Busses aswell b4 making such deductions.

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BUDGET carrier AirAsia Bhd (5099) released preliminary operating statistics for itself as well its two Indonesian and Thai affiliates yesterday, in a move seen to not only bolster investor confidence but also provide more clarity on the airline, and its affiliates.

 

This is the first time, the airline has given out such detailed operating statistics, even to analysts, before the release of its quarterly results.

 

Its second quarter of 2010 results should be out by the end of August.

 

Analysts have been privy to preliminary operating statistics prior to its quarterly announcements for some years now, but this is the first time that Indonesia and Thailand statistics have been included. It is also the first time the report has been released to the media.

 

The move comes following the promise for more clarity on its operations and the AirAsia group's plan to list three of its affiliates, long-haul budget carrier AirAsia X, Thai AirAsia and Indonesia AirAsia separately.

 

According to the preliminary statistics, AirAsia carried 10.6 per cent more people in the second quarter of 2010, compared with a year ago.

 

Load factor, grew to 77 per cent from 75 per cent in the previous corresponding quarter, despite a 7.5 per cent increase in capacity.

 

The all important yield performance, which is considered sensitive information to the stock exchange, however was not disclosed.

 

On Indonesia AirAsia, the statistics showed that the subsidiary carried about 10 per cent more passengers during the second quarter of 2010 compared with 2009.

 

Load factor maintained at 75 per cent though, as capacity grew in tandem with the number of passengers the airline carried.

 

Thai AirAsia carried 11 per cent more passengers and, managed to grow load factor to 75 per cent for the quarter, compared with 70 per cent in the second quarter of 2009.

 

The month of June was the only time the carrier saw a decline in passenger numbers for the quarter, with a 5 per cent decline in passenger traffic.

 

Thai AirAsia also cut capacity by 6.1 per cent during the month compared with 2009.

 

"Their reputation took quite a hit in 2008, with the fuel hedging issue, so I think it's their way of addressing those issues as well as trying to allay some of the confusion which has been surrounding AirAsia and its affiliates," an analyst who declined to be named said.

 

The public can look forward to more such releases, as AirAsia plans to make it a permanent fixture in the airlines' corporate calendar.

 

Source: http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/paas1/Article/index_html#ixzz0v8Yg6K7A

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As mentioned by flee, these are the statistics that AK revealed ahead of its quarterly announcement for Q2 2010.

 

 

AK

 

AKQ220101.jpg

 

AKQ220102.jpg

 

AK carried an average of 1.3 million passengers per month from April to June 2010. The airline achieved its highest monthly load factor of 80% in June 2010.

 

Cumulatively,

  • AK has so far carried (3,893,476 passengers in Q2 2010 + 3,685,389 passengers in Q1 2010) = 7,578,865 passengers from January to June 2010.
  • If the trend continues, AK can expect of carrying more than 15 million passengers by the end of the year (and this is just AK alone!).
  • The airline carries an average of 1,263,144 passengers per month so far in 2010.
  • Load factor for the first 6 months of 2010 stood at (7,578,865/10,078,200) = 75.2%.
  • AK is currently operating with 50 aircrafts, all Airbus 320-200.

However, I think if AK can refine its data between domestic and international, it will be so much better, as a one-to-one comparison can be made with the data that MH made available.

 

 

FD

 

FDQ22010.jpg

 

Total passengers carried Jan - Jun 2010 = (1,237,952 + 1,481,111) = 2,719,063

Load factor Jan - Jun 2010 = (2,719,063/3,487,293) = 78.0%

 

We can see that the numbers for FD in Q2 2010 decrease from the same in Q1 2010.

 

 

QZ

 

QZQ22010.jpg

 

Total passengers carried Jan - Jun 2010 = (947,786 + 893,381) = 1,841,167

Load factor Jan - Jun 2010 = (1,841,167/2,503,604) = 73.5%

 

 

Overall, AirAsia group (excluding D7) has carried 12,139,095 passengers during the period of 1H 2010 with load factor of (12,139,095/16,069,097) = 75.5% group-wide.

 

Hopefully this new development will pressures MH to do the same too. There is no data of comparable period that is available from MH at the moment.

 

p/s MH's fleet status in their Analyst Resources area in their very own website has not been updated since 31 January 2008 http://www.malaysiaairlines.com/my/en/corp/corp/relations/analyst/fleet/fleet-status.aspx Malulah 5 star oii!

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I think AK is more aggressive in flight cancellations this year so that load factor is higher. Load factor numbers may not tell the whole story!

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As we all knew, KUL handled 29,682,093 passengers in 2009. But how much is the proportion of MTB user and LCCT user from this number?

 

LCCTTraffic2009.jpg

 

In 2009, the LCCT handled 13,135,569 passengers, which accounting to 44.25% of the overall passengers traffic in KUL. KUL Main Terminal Building handled the other 55.75% of the pie or equivalent to 16,546,524 passengers.

 

The LCCT is being occupied by 6 airlines, and their market share at the LCCT as at the end of 2009 are as follows:

 

1. AirAsia (AK) 10,613,235 passengers (80.80%)

2. AirAsia X (D7) 981,241 passengers (7.47%)

3. Indonesia AirAsia (QZ) 910,038 passengers (6.93%)

4. Tiger Airways 279,612 passengers (2.13%)

5. Thai AirAsia (FD) 266,452 passengers (2.03%)

6. Cebu Pacific 84,991 passengers (0.65%)

 

Airlines from the AirAsia Group (AK, FD, QZ and D7) controlled (12,770,966/13,135,569) = 97.22% of the passengers traffic at the LCCT.

 

It is also interesting to note that the total passengers movement at the LCCT has been steadily increasing by 3 million passengers per annum since 2007.

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Thanks for posting the data Azizul. You are our undisputed statistician! :clapping:

 

At the rate that things are going at the LCCT, it would be a rather overcrowded travelling experience next year as it will be operating beyond its designed capacity. So during peak hours, it would resemble a refugee camp. I last travelled via LCCT in June and check in hall was really overcrowded and queues (even for baggage drop) can be extremely long!

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Thanks flee, that is quite exclusive as this info has yet to be uploaded on the MAHB's website.

 

So KLIA handled 16,247,329 passengers from January - June 2010. This represent an increase of 20% from the same in 2009. I am now so sure that KLIA can hit close to 33 million passengers by year end. And if Changi's passengers' movement stagnant, i.e. around 37 million passengers, we are not that far behind!

 

This info may be included in the ACI ranking (for Year-todate data up until June 2010) which should be issued out by mid September 2010, provided that KLIA makes it in the top 30 list.

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ACI has just released the ranking of the world's top 30 busiest airports for the first 5 months of 2010, as follows:

 

ACIMay2010.jpg

 

Although there is not much changes from the April 2010 ranking, here are some notes to share:

  • In April and May 2010, most of the European airports (LHR, CDG, AMS) recorded a decline in passengers movement as compared to the previous year's number in response to the Icelandic volcanic ash incident.
  • Suvarnabhumi maintained its position as South East Asia's busiest airport with 18.1 million passengers from Jan - May 2010.
  • The gap between Soekarno-Hatta and Changi further widening. Soekarno-Hatta is now 363,694 passengers ahead of Changi.

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Based on that list and the one flee provided, we can assume that KUL is very, very near the top 30 as KUL handled 13,314,169 passengers during the same period.

 

147,567 passengers off of ICN at #30.

 

Hopefully we can break the top 30 soon. And especially with MH and AK growing steadily with new routes and new aircraft soon, the chances look good!

 

Thanks again to Azizul who NON-STOP provides us with great info :yahoo: Also flee for providing us with "exclusive" info as well :D

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Based on that list and the one flee provided, we can assume that KUL is very, very near the top 30 as KUL handled 13,314,169 passengers during the same period.

 

147,567 passengers off of ICN at #30.

Hey jani, you a smart one for being able to pull out that number. :)

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ACI has just released the ranking of the world's top 30 busiest airports for the first 6 months of 2010, as follows:

 

ACIJune10.jpg

 

Some notes to share:

  • The most surprising and unexpected event happened. Soekarno-Hatta took over Suvarnabhumi as South East Asia's busiest airport!!! Soekarno-Hatta is now 29,816 passengers ahead of Suvarnabhumi. Both airports handled 20,792,483 and 20,762,667 passengers and are at world ranking no. 15 and 16 respectively. Changi is also not that far behind with 20,235,459 passengers. All these 3 airports handled 20 million + passengers for the first 6 months of 2010 each. Competition is extremely fierce. Changi is at world ranking no. 18 and only 527,208 passengers behind Suvarnabhumi.
  • KLIA is still not make it into the top 30. KLIA handled 16,247,329 during the same period, some 408,843 passengers less from that of Fiumicino Leonardo Da Vinci at no. 30. It still quite a task to get into the list. The margin between KLIA and Changi (South East Asia's 4th and 3rd busiest airport) stood at 3,988,130 passengers.

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As for the airlines, here are the operational numbers of our Blue and Red teams respectively:

 

MH

 

MHQ22010.jpg

 

 

AK

 

AKQ12010.jpg

 

AKQ220102.jpg

 

 

SUMMARY FOR PERIOD OF JANUARY - JUNE 2010

 

i. Total passengers carried

 

MH 6,355,000 passengers (2,369,000 Domestic + 3,985,000 International)

AK 7,578,865 passengers (3,685,389 in Q1 + 3,893,476 in Q2)

 

AK is ahead of MH by 1.2 million passengers.

 

 

ii. % Change from Previous Corresponding Period

 

MH 20.1%

AK 13.68% ([7,578,865 - 6,667,095]/6,667,095)

 

MH recorded much higher passengers' growth than AK.

 

 

iii. Load Factor

 

MH 74.4%

AK 75.20% (7,578,865/10,078,020)

 

AK's load factor is better than MH by 0.8 ppt

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Not sure, but based on the growth % for the first 6 months in 2010,

 

CGK 20.5%

KUL 20.0%

SIN 17.0%

 

All 3 airports recorded around 20% growth and both CGK and KUL recorded an almost identical % of growth. If the situation in Indonesia is just like in Malaysia, then it is just a normal growth I suppose - bullish economic times, a lot of people flying, local airlines are expanding abroad (and there are a lot of airlines in Indonesia - Garuda, Lion, Batavia, Mandala, Indonesia AirAsia etc).

 

BKK on the other hand only recorded 9.6% growth, thanks to its political instability.

.

.

.

On the other hand, this is the reference chart for the current airport charges at the LCCT, which I think might be beneficial for some of our calculations in this thread in the future.

 

LCCT2.jpg

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I am shocked that AK carried almost as many international passengers as MH! :o

The domestic numbers aren't a surprise at all. AK has a much larger domestic network than MH now.

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i. Total passengers carried

 

MH 6,355,000 passengers (2,369,000 Domestic + 3,985,000 International)

AK 7,578,865 passengers (3,685,389 in Q1 + 3,893,476 in Q2)

 

AK is ahead of MH by 1.2 million passengers.

Josh, I think you've overlooked the details. AK never reveal the breakdown of its domestic and international passengers traffic. In the calculation above, for AK, the first figure is the total passengers carried by them in Q1 (Jan - Mar 2010, both domestic and international in lump sum) while the second number is the same for Q2 (Apr - Jun 2010).

 

However, based on past years' trend, for domestic traffic, AK does carry more passengers than MH.

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AK carrying more passengers than MH is not really a surprise since they might have more short-haul flights.

 

MH for example send one 747 all the way to Buenos Aires, carrying maybe about ~250 passengers. While during the same time AK might be flying a short-haul route carrying ~150 people, but maybe 4-5 times during the same period MH's plane takes to go to Buenos Aires.

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However, based on past years' trend, for domestic traffic, AK does carry more passengers than MH.

This may be due to the fact that MH's main workhorse for domestic traffic is the B734 - this has lower capacity than AK's A320. With MH moving on to B738's from this year onwards, the domestic numbers may creep closer to AK's.

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This may be due to the fact that MH's main workhorse for domestic traffic is the B734 - this has lower capacity than AK's A320. With MH moving on to B738's from this year onwards, the domestic numbers may creep closer to AK's.

That line of thinking may require assumption that MH has a 100% load factor on domestic operations nowadays with a waiting list of pax queueing to fill up the extra capacity afforded by its B738's :D

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This may be due to the fact that MH's main workhorse for domestic traffic is the B734 - this has lower capacity than AK's A320. With MH moving on to B738's from this year onwards, the domestic numbers may creep closer to AK's.

 

Don't forget close to 1 mill fly with MASwings and Firelfly in every quarter!!!

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I think MH's figures above should had inclusive of MASwings, isn't it?

 

And, if we want to include FireFly in the equation for MH; FD, QZ and D7's numbers have to be included to AK too to be on level playing field. Obviously the AirAsia Group's figures will trump MH Group's quite significantly.

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